W25_AL_Lesson Learned for Next Class


1. Problem Definition

Even the most successful projects have lessons from which we can learn. Whether you’re building the next wonder of the World, or renovating your house there will be lessons you can learn from your project. One of cost-effective project management tool is lesson learned. Our Kristal Class has just end, this blog is intended to bring together any insights gained during Kristal Class that can be usefully applied on next class. Continue reading

W25_YAW_Schedule Risk Analysis (2)


1.    Problem Definition.

We have conducted schedule risk analysis for one of our current project, namely the Advanced Process Control project (“Project”). One of our goals in conducting of schedule risk analysis for the Project is to obtain the schedule contingency. Both alternative tools to compute the schedule path distribution, namely PERT analysis and Monte Carlo simulation were used.

Schedule risk analysis by using PERT analysis has been explained in W24 blog posting [1]. This W25 blog posting will address schedule risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation.

Continue reading

W20_GW_ Stock’s Beta


  1. Problem Recognition, Definition and Evaluation

    I want to invest some of my money in the stock market. I want to know how much systematic risk of shares of PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk. relative to market risk. Am I going to invest my money in PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk. (ADHI)?

  2. Development of the Feasible Alternatives

    Beta (β) is a measure of systematic risk of a stock or portfolio relative to the market risk. Stock’s beta (β) can be calculated by using the regression technique.

    Continue reading

W24_YAW_Schedule Risk Analysis


1.    Problem Definition.

In W22 and W23 blog posting, it was explained the integrated cost/schedule risk analysis on one of our current project, namely the Advanced Process Control project (“Project”) [1], [2].

In this W24 and next W25 blog postings, it will be explained schedule risk analysis for the Project. If the final result of the integrated cost/risk analysis is the cost contingency, then the final result of the schedule risk analysis is the schedule contingency.

Continue reading

W16_TMA_Compensatory Method for Party Chief’s Decision


1. Problem Definition
Continuing W13 and W15, another alternative for analyze Party Chief Decision, using compensatory models.
Three important jobs to supervise by Party Chief;

  • Monitored the explosive arrived and placed into the bunker as per regulation. (Explosive)
  • Make sure camp for the drilling and preloading crew ready to use as soon as possible. (Camp).
  • Giving booster to the topography and bridging crew for make bigger production lead especially in the flooding area (Production Lead)

Continue reading